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  • How might a wider Middle East conflict affect the global . . .
    Beyond its immediate economic implications, an escalation of the Middle East conflict could trigger large-scale displacement of people, which would increase economic and social pressures on neighbouring countries Many countries may also have to increase their military spending in response to growing regional tensions
  • Scars of Conflict Are Deeper and Longer Lasting in Middle . . .
    Economies across the Middle East and Central Asia are more affected by conflicts—even a decade after a severe conflict, their income per capita remains about 10 percent lower The idea that violent conflict reduces economic output is uncontroversial
  • Economic implications of conflict escalation in the Middle East
    In an escalation scenario, the adverse economic effects would be felt through multiple transmission channels, implying potentially large output losses relative to baseline forecasts Key transmission channels would include higher crude oil prices, tighter financial conditions, declining asset prices and weaker sentiment
  • Middle East conflict: economic and geopolitical impact - EY
    We examine three probable scenarios around the Middle East conflict and the associated business risks Companies should prepare for impacts including oil supply shocks, financial market stress, trade disruptions and shifts in regional trade dynamics
  • Middle East tensions: What is the economic impact?
    The risks of a potential escalation into a wider conflict in the region is causing concern across the globe, as evidenced by increased market volatility and nervousness among investors We summarise our key views and implications across the different asset classes:
  • World Bank Warns of Long-Term Fallout from Regional Conflict
    Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the launch of the World Bank’s latest economic update for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Safaa El Tayeb El-Kogali, the Bank’s Regional Director for the GCC, stated: “Any conflict, especially in this region, can have long-lasting and adverse effects ”
  • MENA – Middle East Tensions Rising: How Will It Impact the . . .
    The military escalation between Iran and Israel has ratcheted up fears of an expanded Middle East conflict The threat of counter strikes by Israel is clearly heightened, but we think both sides will ultimately seek to avoid a costly all-out war





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