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  • June 18, 2025: FOMC Projections materials, accessible version
    June 18, 2025: FOMC Projections materials, accessible version Accessible version Figure 3 D Distribution of participants' projections for core PCE inflation, 2025–27 Histograms, three panels Number of participants Percent Range 2025 2026 2027; March projections June projections March projections
  • Federal Reserve dot plot and economic projection June 2025
    FOMC officials expect the core personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy, to increase at a 3 1% rate in 2025
  • FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal . . . - FRED
    Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint (PCECTPICTM) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, rate, and USA
  • Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index
    January 2025 +2 5% The PCE price index, released each month in the Personal Income and Outlays report, reflects changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers in the United States
  • Federal Reserve’s Economic Projections: March 2025 Update
    Inflation projections for PCE range from 2 5% to 3 4% in 2025, while core PCE inflation projections are slightly higher, ranging from 2 5% to 3 5% The federal funds rate projections for 2025 vary from 3 6% to 4 4%, indicating some divergence in views on monetary policy
  • FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, June 2025 | FRED Blog
    The first ALFRED graph, above, shows the unemployment rate projections for the fourth quarters of 2025, 2026, and 2027 Most recent values are shown by the gold bar The median FOMC participant projects that the unemployment rate will average 4 5% in Q4 2025, and drop to 4 4% by 2027 This is just above the projection provided in March, and
  • An Update to the Economic Outlook: 2023 to 2025
    The agency’s projection of PCE inflation in 2025 remains unchanged, but the projection of CPI-U inflation has been revised up by 0 1 percentage point Interest Rates CBO now expects short-term interest rates over the 2023–2025 period to be higher than it forecast in February
  • Feds Latest Economic Projections Hint at Stagflation Concerns
    The Federal Reserve's unemployment rate projections released in the June 18, 2025 Summary of Economic Projections Fed officials now see the median PCE inflation rate moving to 3% in 2025


















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